Table of contents:
Forex Trading And Dark Pools: Washington, D.c. Attorney Assistance – 1.Das Trader Pro software TradeExchange News; 2. tastyworks option chain; 3.Remora dark pool scanner, LiveVol Pro software;
4. Pivot chart selected by long-term trader John Person; 5. Chart with pivot; 6. Chart with pivot
Forex Trading And Dark Pools: Washington, D.c. Attorney Assistance
Happy hour! I was lucky enough to get a job as a trader’s assistant in a million-dollar room at Shawfield Securities, the largest proprietary firm in New York. [Proprietary trading firms, or proprietary firms, invest their own funds in the markets rather than receiving commissions for trading client funds. ]Two years later, I moved to another company called Onsite Trading in Great Neck, New York. In 1994, Onsite Trading gave me $250,000 to trade. I was the first female trader at this company. I won the Rookie Trader of the Year award and made over six figures in my first year with the company.
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I like to catch option chains off guard by tracking huge dark pool signatures. It’s just a fancy name for tracking the flow of institutional money. These large institutions conduct all their trading on alternative exchanges called dark pools. These are the trades that move the market up and down. News always comes after print.
Luck means working with the right knowledge. I guess if we use this terminology, all my trades would be considered lucky.
This is always the moment my stop is hit. You probably didn’t expect me to say this, but that’s why I’m still trading here after 28 years.
The closing bell rings at 4 p.m. Eastern Time each trading day. I love trading and once the closing bell rings, reality kicks in. I have to make doctor appointments, go shopping, return phone calls, send emails, etc. Being on the trading floor all day is very meditative. With volatility increasing in recent weeks, we wanted to provide an update on U.S. trading volumes and liquidity. stock market. While total trading volume has increased – particularly in the days following the SIVB news – we’ve seen some signs that this activity may not be driven by institutional investors in a single stock. We are seeing an increase in ETF trading volumes, a decrease in trading volumes on major block trading venues, and an increase in “hard-to-get” liquidity. Here’s an overview of some of the indicators we’ve been watching and some advice on trading.
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Average daily trading volume for B shares so far in 2023 is 11.8 shares, the same as in 2022 but higher than in 2020 and 2021. However, if we look at daily volume, we can see that overall volume was affected by some very busy days in mid-March. After the week of March 13
We have seen an increase in volumes due to bank solvency concerns, but volumes (share and notional value) have quickly returned to more normalized levels relative to the rest of the year.
(Before/After SIVB), we can see this piece of activity more clearly – 2023 is off to a rather slow start in terms of notional volumes and share counts. While January has historically been one of the most active months of the year, heading into March we have yet to see this reflected in 2023 by institutional players. The chart below plots historical activity in the U.S. stock market and lists 2023 stock and name trading volumes around March 10
Following reasonable growth in 2022, ETFs continue to account for a higher proportion of total trading volume. This trend has been particularly evident over the past few weeks as volatility has increased. Since March 10, nearly a quarter of total U.S. equity volume (and nearly 35% of total nominal trading) has been in ETFs
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Additionally, ETF trading volume remains concentrated among the most active exchange-traded products. The 25 most active ETFs account for 10.7% of total equity trading volume so far this year, accounting for nearly a fifth of total nominal trading. It’s worth noting that some of the most active ETFs are leveraged ETFs – a trend that continues in 2022. These products are popular for short-term investing and hedging, and are gaining wider trade among retail investors.
If we pull out ETF volumes and just look at individual stock volumes, we see that the past few years have been trending differently than overall volumes. Trading volumes for individual stocks have been declining since the 2021 meme stock craze. At the start of 2023, our B-share daily trading volume was 8.96x, close to 2020 levels (which included a relatively slow first quarter resulting in pandemic-related volatility). In the chart below, we again list the 2023 volumes before and after March 10
Looking at daily single share volume, we can see that aside from some brief volume increases, our volume appears to have normalized between 8 and 9 billion shares this year.
If we analyze the top stocks from a trading activity perspective, similar to what we do for ETFs, we see some more interesting patterns. There are some retail darlings that remain at the top of the list – single stocks that continue to be the focus of individual investors. There are also sub-dollar names that account for a large portion of total sales. If we look at the top 25 stocks by volume, more than 4% of the market’s total volume over the past few weeks came from stocks with an average strike price of less than $1. While these securities are a focus area for the SEC’s proposed minimum tick system (which we will follow up on shortly), these securities tend not to be a primary focus area for institutional investors.
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One of the biggest movers in U.S. equity trading volume and liquidity over the past few years has been retail trading. While our retail estimates are slightly delayed due to FINRA reporting, and there’s no real way to determine retail volume as a percentage of total sales, we do have several estimation methods.
One of the factors we look at is the share of OTC volume, since a significant portion of retail volume is traded OTC through wholesalers. At the start of the year, we saw OTC volumes rise compared to previous years, with market share approaching 50% for parts of January. With the volatility in mid-March, we saw a significant decline in OTC volumes, which may indicate that retail investors accounted for a smaller share of the overall market, but may also reflect an increased sense of urgency among institutional investors – as they became A more aggressive strategy rather than one that favors dark/OTC venues. However, OTC trading volumes have recovered rapidly in recent days.
In the past, we have also used internal trading volumes at top wholesale companies as a proxy for retail trends. If we look at the historical charts of these volumes, we can see a similar increase in January 2023, suggesting that retail volumes picked up in late 2022 and early 2023. While we are not back to January/February 2021 levels, we did see a slight uptick in recent months.
What is also striking about this change in OTC volumes is that dark pools, an important source of liquidity for institutional investors, still account for a smaller share of total OTC volumes. Despite a general rise in OTC trading volume, only 10.7% of trading volume has been traded in dark pools so far in 2023. This again suggests that we are seeing less institutional investment, or that institutions are not targeting traditional dark pool sources of liquidity.
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In fact, if we look at total OTC volume on an annual basis, OTC non-ATS volume (which accounts for over 35% of total volume so far this year) now accounts for almost as much market share as
If we look at the data together, we see that ETFs have been growing as a share of total trading volume. Individual stock volume declined at the start of the year and (after a period of heightened volatility and volume) has returned to lower levels. While not back to 2021 levels, retail trading volumes remain high and we can see the impact of retail participation in some of the most active stocks and ETFs. From a market structure perspective, U.S. equities are as fragmented and intermediated as ever – more exchanges are likely to open, and recently launched dark pools are growing in size. If we add it all up and try to get an estimate of a single inventory, accessible, non-intermediated volume, our estimate for 2023 is as follows (
We have been working hard to isolate volumes that we believe are less reflective of institutional activity because we have no real way to measure institutional volume. However, one of the largest neighborhood venues does provide daily volume data. While this is just one venue, we do use volume data as an indicator of institutional activity – at least on a relative basis over time – and specifically conditional/collective activity.
The following data shows the daily market share of venues throughout 2023. We can see a slight downward trend throughout the year.
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